Wars are inherently unpredictable in their execution and outcome, similar to how macroeconomics can predict broad economic outlines but microeconomics struggles with detailed engineering-level forecasting.

definitionpending

Speaker

George Friedman

Evidence Quote

the fundamental problem with war is that it's unpredictable... This is same is true with geopolitics.

Source

The War is Evolving: George Friedman on Miscalculations in IranGeopolitical Futures
Created: 8/12/2026, 6:29:32 PM

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