The NY Arca defense index climbed more than 150% between 2020 and 2025, meaning the conflict premium was already baked into valuations before Europe announced rearmament.

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The index had climbed more than 150% between 2020 and 2025. So the stocks were priced for a war before anyone announced one.

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Is Russia Actually Losing?Patrick Boyle
Created: 7/11/2026, 9:13:21 PM

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