Intelligence services cannot protect against novel outlier attacks because they defend against known threats from a pre-existing threat list, but enemies always study the defenses and build attacks designed not to appear on the known threat list, making defense always disadvantaged relative to offense.

causalpending

Speaker

George Friedman

Evidence Quote

the problem of any intelligence service is they cannot protect against the outlier they're very good at detecting the known threat but the intelligence people have a list of what's threatening and the enemy always has okay I've seen the list we'll do one that's not happening

Source

2024 Predictions and Global Power Dynamics with George FriedmanThe Jay Martin Show
Created: 8/12/2026, 6:07:12 PM

My Notes

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