It is better to have rigorous analysis with a wrong call than a correct call with bad analysis, because good process is repeatable while a lucky correct call without process is just throwing darts.

normativepending

Speaker

Andrew Bishop

Evidence Quote

the key is to have a rigorous and an analytical process and even if you get the call wrong, it's better to have good analysis and a call wrong rather than the other way around

Source

How a Geopolitical Analyst Predicts the Outcome of War | Odd LotsBloomberg Podcasts
Created: 6/18/2026, 2:17:57 PM

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