Ukraine's reluctance to sign a peace deal is not because Ukrainians are uninterested in peace but because deals with Moscow tend not to survive contact with the next Russian offensive, as demonstrated by the Budapest Memorandum (1994) followed by Crimea annexation (2014) followed by full invasion (2022).
causalpending
Speaker
Unknown SpeakerEvidence Quote
“It's that they've learned deals with Moscow tend not to survive contact with the next Russian offensive. In 1994, Ukraine signed the Budapest Memorandum, handing over the third largest nuclear arsenal... In 2014, Russia annexed Crimea... and then the rest of the invasion came in 2022.”
Created: 7/11/2026, 9:13:21 PM
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