For cyclone Cider a week before landfall, ensemble forecasts predicted with high probability that it would hit Bangladesh; this high-confidence forecast allowed disaster preparedness agencies to give Bangladesh early warning and prepare effectively.
factualpending
Speaker
Tim PalmerEvidence Quote
“this top one is uh of a forecast about a week ahead of a cyclone called Cider which as you can see was predicted with a pretty high probability most of the tracks are going up towards Bangladesh”
Source
Chaos theory and geometry: can they predict our world? – with Tim Palmer— The Royal InstitutionCreated: 8/10/2026, 11:02:02 PM
My Notes
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