The escalation of tensions between Russia and Azerbaijan can be read as a Russian effort to 'throw sand in the gears' of the Armenia-Azerbaijan peace process, pressuring Azerbaijan to adhere to Russian preferences, because the consummation of a bilateral peace deal negotiated with minimal Russian participation would be a significant blow to Russia's ability to manipulate regional dynamics.

causalpending

Speaker

Jeff Mankoff

Evidence Quote

“one way to read the escalation of tensions between these two countries is an effort to throw sand in the gears of this process”

Source

Armenia, Azerbaijan, and Geopolitics in the South Caucasus— Center for Strategic & International Studies
Created: 6/18/2026, 2:32:38 PM

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