Traders in prediction markets are overwhelmingly bullish on the dollar, with 70% probability of DXY exceeding 104 and 57% probability of exceeding 105 by year-end, reflecting expectations of a stronger dollar driven by capital flows and Fed tightening relative to other central banks.
factualpending
Speaker
David LinEvidence Quote
“there is an overwhelming probability, 70% chance, that it's going to go above 104 uh, by the end of the year”
Source
Massive Liquidity Shock Coming; Brace For 'Wrecking Ball' Warns Economist | Michael Howell— David LinCreated: 8/12/2026, 6:46:58 PM
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