The rules for success in the continental security paradigm include: first, avoid two-front wars with multiple neighbors; second, avoid great-power neighbors because today's friends become tomorrow's foes; third, take on neighbors sequentially, setting them to fail, destabilizing rising threats, and absorbing buffer zones when opportunity arrives; fourth, alternatively, sow mutual resentments among neighbors with disinformation so they weaken each other while you play the jackal, stealing the kill.

normativepending

Speaker

Sarah Cozad Payne

Evidence Quote

rule number one neighbors are numerous so no twoof front Wars... no great power neighbors... you take on your neighbors sequentially... that is Vladimir Putin's game... you seow their Mutual resentments by deluging them with fake news... Russia can act to play the role of a jackal state

Source

NWC 2025 INS Lecture - Dr. Sarah Paine: Geopolitics, Cold War Lessons and the Way ForwardU.S. Naval War College
Created: 8/11/2026, 7:04:38 AM

My Notes

Loading notes...