7030 is the new 6040 — analysts who want to sound confident but are unsure now state 70% odds instead of the old 60%.

factualpending

Speaker

Joe Weisenthal

Evidence Quote

7030 is the new 6040. That's right.

Source

How a Geopolitical Analyst Predicts the Outcome of War | Odd LotsBloomberg Podcasts
Created: 6/18/2026, 2:17:57 PM

My Notes

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