The reinvasion of Ukraine in 2022 was a 'pink flamingo' rather than a 'black swan'—it was highly visible and predictable, not a genuine surprise, because Putin had clearly signaled his intentions through prior actions and rhetoric.

factualpending

Speaker

H.R. McMaster

Evidence Quote

the reinvasion of Ukraine was a pink flamingo I mean it was right in front of us and it was quite obvious

Source

Battlegrounds w/ H.R. McMaster | Lithuania: On the Frontline of European SecurityHoover Institution
Created: 8/11/2026, 4:44:48 AM

My Notes

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