Governments have tried to reverse fertility decline and have failed (Iran is an example), and coercion to lower fertility works (China, India) but coercion to raise fertility does not seem to work—people will get around restrictions

factualpending

Speaker

Niall Ferguson

Evidence Quote

I think it's been tried Iran would be one place and it doesn't work I mean the truth is that no measures seem capable of reversing declines in fertility and if you create the kind of restrictions you're talking about people will get around them it won't be pleasant uh but they will get around them

Source

The Fertility Crisis: Capitalism's Next Challenge, with Sir Niall FergusonStigler Center
Created: 8/11/2026, 7:18:48 AM

My Notes

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