Most geopolitical situations have far more than two possible outcomes (unlike coin flips with 50-50 odds), making prediction much harder than random chance despite how it appears
factualpending
Speaker
Joe WeisenthalEvidence Quote
“harder than just throwing darts or flipping a coin...most situations have far more than two scenarios...very difficult thing to do to predict all geopolitical outcomes”
Created: 8/11/2026, 7:02:33 AM
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