There are questions about what specifically tactically would precipitate a Chinese move against Taiwan, and the outcome in Ukraine will not be the dominant factor, but it will be a factor in influencing Xi Jinping's anticipation of how the West would react if he attacked Taiwan.

factualpending

Speaker

Hal Brands

Evidence Quote

the outcome in Ukraine will not be the dominant Factor there it will be a factor then and and so if what xiin Ping sees is that the West supports Ukraine for a while but gets tired of it... of course that's going to influence his anticipate the anti the reaction he anticipates from the United States

Source

'We’re Living In a Pre-War World. Great Power War Is No Longer Unthinkable.' | Ep. 49 Hal BrandsDecoding Geopolitics Podcast with Dominik Presl
Created: 8/11/2026, 7:56:42 AM

My Notes

Loading notes...