The IRGC's closure of the Strait of Hormuz—a major global oil transport chokepoint—represents a new military problem that the US administration appears not to have anticipated in its initial war planning.

factualpending

Speaker

George Friedman

Evidence Quote

The IRGC responded in a way that might have been expected, but wasn't, which is they closed the Straits of Hormuz. The Straits of Hormuz blocks the Persian Gulf. The Persian Gulf is one of the main producers of oil in the world

Source

The War is Evolving: George Friedman on Miscalculations in IranGeopolitical Futures
Created: 8/12/2026, 6:29:32 PM

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