There might be one or two opportunities to start a very long process of straining autocratic relationships over time, particularly by putting pressure on the weakest member of the quartet, Iran, which has had its air defenses shredded and its proxy network set back dramatically, and the Trump Administration is likely to come out of the gate with sharp economic pressure on Iran to deal with the Iranian nuclear program.

forecastpending

Speaker

Hal Brands

Evidence Quote

one way of doing that would be to put a lot of pressure on the weakest member of the autocratic uh quartet which is Iran uh and so Iran has had its air defenses shredded it's had its proxy Network set back dramatically

Source

'We’re Living In a Pre-War World. Great Power War Is No Longer Unthinkable.' | Ep. 49 Hal BrandsDecoding Geopolitics Podcast with Dominik Presl
Created: 8/11/2026, 7:56:42 AM

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