Most people Eric talks to believe AGI (artificial general intelligence) will arrive between 3 and 5 years from now; AGI is defined as a single computer system that performs at the 90th percentile or better across all human domains simultaneously (mathematics, physics, chemistry, writing, liberal arts, music), making it the ultimate polymath.

factualpending

Speaker

Craig

Evidence Quote

between 6 to 8 years there will be a single computer will be at the 90th percentile or better of the best human ability literally the best mathematician alive the best physicist alive the best chemist alive so forth the best writer the best uh liberal arts person the best musician

Source

Eric Schmidt and Craig Mundie with David Rubenstein: GenesisThe 92nd Street Y, New York
Created: 8/11/2026, 5:23:07 AM

My Notes

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