Urbanization and industrialization caused global fertility collapse because children shifted from being free agricultural labor to expensive city dependents; this process began in the 1940s in Germany, the 1990s in Mexico and Brazil, and happens everywhere on the same demographic pathway, with countries starting later urbanizing faster and seeing birth rates drop faster.
causalpending
Speaker
Peter ZeihanEvidence Quote
“when the world started to globalize we started to industrialize and urbanize and so as we move from the farm and into the city we changed our attitude towards children and on the farm kids are free labor...but when you're in the city they're an expense so we went from having seven kids to less than two pretty much everywhere”
Created: 8/12/2026, 5:53:49 PM
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