Technical knowledge (e.g., missile ranges, weapons capabilities) is necessary for geopolitical forecasting but need not be held in-house: the firm breaks a big issue into sub-questions and sources answers from open source or external experts while never outsourcing the actual analysis or predictions.

normativepending

Speaker

Andrew Bishop

Evidence Quote

we break down a big issue into sub questions and then we go out and try to find the answer. And some of that will be in open source. Some of that will be trying to speak with an expert on XYZ missile range.

Source

How a Geopolitical Analyst Predicts the Outcome of War | Odd LotsBloomberg Podcasts
Created: 6/18/2026, 2:17:57 PM

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