Oil market analogy: when geopolitical premiums spike (like the 12% move when U.S. bombed Iran), the premium often fades within days, potentially leaving copper similarly vulnerable to fade if the tariff threat is withdrawn.

causalpending

Speaker

Trevor Hall

Evidence Quote

I just reminisced a little bit of two weeks ago in the oil market. The geopolitical premium sends barrels of oil up, you know, 12% or whatever it was... I mean like and I just kind of wonder, okay, is it possible we see the same move in the copper copper market

Source

Grant Williams and Matt Geiger: Investing During Crises and Navigating a Spirited Metals MarketCLEAR COMMODITY NETWORK
Created: 8/11/2026, 7:24:12 AM

My Notes

Loading notes...