Aswath Damodaran
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Valuation expert, author of 'The Little Book of Evaluation', NYU professor
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Claims by Aswath Damodaran (20 of 363)
Active investing is inherently unprofitable for practitioners as a collective, like a 'plumbing business called Floods R Us' where you cause the problem you claim to solve; AI will make active investing harder, not easier, because all investors will have access to the same tools, eroding any information advantage.
Gold's 70% surge in 2024 was unusual because it occurred without hyperinflation, market crisis, or low interest rates—the traditional drivers; instead, it reflects a subset of investors (gold bugs plus institutional players like Ray Dalio and Jamie Dimon) having lost trust in financial assets and expecting catastrophe.
The concept of 'Fangam' was used to label top stocks in the last decade, then replaced by 'Mag 7' with Nvidia and Tesla additions, now expanding to 'Mag 10' with Broadcom, AMD, and Palantir; constantly redefining the grouping to include the most successful stocks makes concentration appear natural rather than problematic.
Institutional trust has been cracking since 2008 because governments in developed markets no longer maintain the economic discipline and adherence to norms that characterized the post-WWII order, evidenced by massive COVID bailouts and cavalier policy actions that would have been unthinkable 30-50 years ago.
Dividends and buybacks are equivalent sources of cash flow to equity investors; both should be counted equally in valuation because whether dividends or buybacks reach your pocket depends on whether you sell shares or hold, making the choice between them a matter of corporate governance preference, not fundamental cash flow value.
Conventional dividends are not true residual cash flows (which equity is supposed to represent) but rather fixed, sticky commitments that resemble bond coupons; historically, dividends were used to market stocks as bond-like instruments, but buybacks are more aligned with true equity residual cash flow logic.
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