Peter Thiel
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Entrepreneur and investor quoted on sci-fi's technophobic turn
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Claims by Peter Thiel (20 of 922)
The microeconomics of clean tech ventures in the last decade were such that companies could not achieve even ephemeral monopoly status because they could not produce something decisively better than competitors, making value capture impossible and leading to business failure despite technological importance.
Silicon Valley and what it represents is radically countercultural and at odds with what people in the Western World actually think about the future, creating a Zeno's paradox situation where accelerating technological change meets an increasingly reactionary political system hostile to it
Throughout history, inventors and creators have captured very little value from their innovations: the Wright Brothers made no money, aviation industry cumulative profits were near zero for 100 years, Industrial Revolution factory efficiency increased 7-10% annually for decades but aristocracy retained most wealth, and most innovation historically features y=0% value capture
History shows technology has replaced lost jobs with new ones over 200 years, but predicting whether AI/robots would follow this pattern is premature; if strong AI and humanoid robots smarter than humans and requiring no payment emerged, that would be genuinely scary for middle class employment
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