Unidentified Speaker — Eric Schmidt and Craig Mundie with David Rubenstein: Genesis [lBTnZYFRlmI]
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Claims by Unidentified Speaker — Eric Schmidt and Craig Mundie with David Rubenstein: Genesis [lBTnZYFRlmI] (20 of 33)
Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) will emerge within 6-8 years, defined as a single computer system reaching the 90th percentile or better of peak human ability across all domains simultaneously—mathematics, physics, chemistry, writing, music, and liberal arts—creating a universal polymath AI.
The next generation foundation models (GPT-5, Gemini 2, Gemini 3) will have training costs of approximately $1 billion each just for the base model, and largest data centers contain 200,000 chips, such that training costs will rapidly consume the entire $500 billion Stargate budget.
Henry Kissinger was introduced to AI shortly before age 95 at a meeting in Europe, immediately recognized the profound implications of superintelligent AI exceeding human intelligence, and spent the last five years of his life studying not the technical aspects but the civilizational ramifications.
Kissinger's theory of societal response to AI is that when societies encounter something they don't understand, they either treat it as a new religion (worship/reverence) or rebel against it with hostility (pitchforks)—there is no rational middle ground without deliberate governance.
Craig and Kissinger organized a 'track two' dialogue with Chinese officials to discuss AI governance before tragedy strikes, but found stark differences in approach—the Chinese team was highly formal (9 officials in suits, reading prepared statements) while the American side was casual, revealing how unprepared diplomacy is for AI-era governance.
Kissinger's thinking about AI was analogous to his Cold War nuclear deterrence insights—strategic competition doesn't require elimination, but can coexist with agreements that prevent the worst outcomes and benefit both sides, avoiding the need for either side to surrender its position.
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