Despite attempts at militaristic solutions, Sahel governments will likely realize in the medium to longer term that they cannot defeat insurgents by brute force alone and may turn toward negotiations, as evidenced by tentative signs that Niger's junta has sent envoys to jihadist leaders and Mali authorities have reportedly done the same.
forecastpending
Speaker
Tom GardnerEvidence Quote
“we might expect to see genters realizing they cannot defeat these insurgents by Brute Force alone”
Created: 8/11/2026, 7:05:18 AM
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