The current moment is not one of profound instability and war; there is actually less war now than during the Cold War and more predictability, despite 24/7 cable news coverage making it seem worse.
factualpending
Speaker
Steven CodkinEvidence Quote
“There is a lot less war now than there was during the Cold War. and there's a lot more predictability than there was during the Cold War. I'd be happy to go into various different examples to illustrate those points.”
Source
Stephen Kotkin: Sphere of Influence I - The Gift of Geopolitics: How Worlds are Made, and Unmade— IWMViennaCreated: 8/12/2026, 6:14:33 PM
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