Glenn Carl
About
American writer and former CIA clandestine officer; deputy national intelligence officer for transnational threats; author of 'The Interrogator'
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Claims by Glenn Carl (20 of 39)
Grover Norquist is one of the unknown influential figures of American lifetimes who has devoted his life to changing American government by reducing the size of the federal government by 50% in absolute terms of personnel and budget, with the belief that government's only functions are military and border control.
While the U.S. shifted strategic focus from Russia to China as the primary peer competitor (a strategically rational shift), this does not necessitate deprioritizing Russia entirely, as Russia continues to pose an existential threat through intelligence operations and state capture.
The United States has constrained itself and allowed itself to lose various arguments an infinite number of times, playing by rules it took the primary lead in creating, resulting in outcomes that adhere to general welfare rather than solely to American hegemon interests—this is empirically demonstrable in infant mortality, women's rights, contract respect, and opportunities for non-American entities to thrive.
Russia's deeper motivation is traditionalism (articulated by Dugin): the conviction that the destabilizing rise of individual rights and democratic norms undermines authority and capital-R Rightness and must be opposed—a worldview deeply laced into deep-conservative movements across Europe and the US, and shared structurally with Islamic jihadists who likewise reject decadent Western norms.
Russian intelligence has assassinated on the order of 49 individuals in Great Britain over the last 20 years, and oligarch money plus the daunting nature of the Russian service have led Britain to turn a blind eye to this situation for decades—a passivity Carl finds shocking given British courage and a superb intelligence service.
The cheaper and more effective way to challenge the United States than building military equals (e.g., MiGs matching F-22s) is to undermine the foundations of American coherency: social cohesion, belief in democracy, belief in the rule of law, and faith in institutions—achieved by supporting opposing factions and seeding cross-purpose messaging—and this is the explicit strategy of Russian intelligence.
Operation RYAN illustrates how an authoritarian intelligence system that only accepts confirmation of leadership's presuppositions produces circular reporting and genuine mass delusion: in 1983 the paranoid Soviet leadership tasked the KGB to warn of an imminent US first strike, field officers fabricated confirming reports to please their masters, the leadership then took real preparatory measures, the US detected those and escalated—an entirely fictional yet dangerously real crisis.
Trump is almost the archetype of the totalitarian personality: for him life is zero-sum and about power and himself, the rule of law is good only insofar as it supports what he wants, and he embodies impulses of grievance and resentment that surged for decades before his rise—'the man has met the moment.'
The core conflict in Ukraine is not NATO encroachment but Putin's determination as a Russian nationalist to prevent the 'near abroad' (Ukraine) from wholeheartedly turning to Western norms—individual rights, rule of law, open society, and challenge to authority—because that turn is antithetical to Russia's history.
The cynicism that the international 'normative system' or rules-based order was never real is itself a triumph of Soviet and Marxist propaganda; the rules-based order is grossly imperfect but objectively real and the US has genuinely constrained itself and lost arguments by playing by rules it created.
Putin's significance lies not in having been a low-level KGB functionary but in being a highly intelligent Russian nationalist trained in a distinctly Russian (not uniquely KGB) view of international relations as a zero-sum game of pure power, fundamentally different from the Western norm that both sides can benefit from agreement.
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